The model estimates 1.09 goals for Kusatsu and 1.90 for Kagoshima Utd. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Kusatsu and 6 for Kagoshima Utd, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Kagoshima Utd · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Kusatsu is going head to head with Kagoshima Utd on May 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of J3 League — Round 38.
Kusatsu take on Kagoshima Utd in the J3 League on 23 May 2027 at 00:00.
Kusatsu are currently placed 11th in the table with 0 points, while Kagoshima Utd occupy 6th position with 0 points.
Kusatsu come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kagoshima Utd have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Kagoshima Utd have 4 wins against Kusatsu, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Kagoshima Utd to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.99. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 58%.


Kusatsu have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Kusatsu's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Kagoshima Utd's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Kagoshima Utd have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Kagoshima Utd's last 6 matches.