The model estimates 1.37 goals for Krasnodar and 1.48 for Spartak Moscow. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Krasnodar and 6 for Spartak Moscow, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Spartak Moscow · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Krasnodar is going head to head with Spartak Moscow on February 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Russian Premier League — Round 18.
Krasnodar take on Spartak Moscow in the Russian Premier League on 27 February 2027 at 00:00.
Krasnodar are currently placed 5th in the table with 23 points, while Spartak Moscow occupy 4th position with 23 points.
Krasnodar come into this match with 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Spartak Moscow have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Krasnodar have 1 win against Spartak Moscow.
Prediction: Spartak Moscow to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.85. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 59%.




Krasnodar have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Krasnodar have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Krasnodar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Spartak Moscow have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Spartak Moscow have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Spartak Moscow score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.