The model estimates 1.22 goals for Juarez (Mex) and 2.07 for Atlas (Mex). These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Juarez (Mex) and 6 for Atlas (Mex), before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atlas (Mex) · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Juarez (Mex) is going head to head with Atlas (Mex) on November 21, 2026 at 03:00. This match is part of Liga MX — Round 17.
Juarez (Mex) take on Atlas (Mex) in the Liga MX on 21 November 2026 at 03:00.
Juarez (Mex) are currently placed 20th in the table with 24 points, while Atlas (Mex) occupy 9th position with 50 points.
Juarez (Mex) come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atlas (Mex) have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Atlas (Mex) have 8 wins against Juarez (Mex), with 3 draws.
Prediction: Atlas (Mex) to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.29. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 63%.




Juarez (Mex) have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Juarez (Mex)'s last 6 matches.
Juarez (Mex) concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Atlas (Mex) have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Atlas (Mex)'s last 6 matches.
Atlas (Mex) score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.