The model estimates 2.28 goals for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 1.45 for Jong PSV. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 6 for Jong PSV, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jong AZ Alkmaar · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with Jong PSV on January 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 23.
Jong AZ Alkmaar take on Jong PSV in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 25 January 2027 at 00:00.
Jong AZ Alkmaar are currently placed 8th in the table with 17 points, while Jong PSV occupy 12th position with 16 points.
Jong AZ Alkmaar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jong PSV have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, Jong PSV have 9 wins against Jong AZ Alkmaar, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Jong AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.73. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 70%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Jong AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jong AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Jong AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Jong PSV have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Jong PSV's last 6 matches.
Jong PSV concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.