The model estimates 3.39 goals for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 1.69 for Jong Ajax. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 6 for Jong Ajax, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jong AZ Alkmaar · 65%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with Jong Ajax on May 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 38.
Jong AZ Alkmaar take on Jong Ajax in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 14 May 2027 at 00:00.
Jong AZ Alkmaar are currently placed 8th in the table with 17 points, while Jong Ajax occupy 15th position with 12 points.
Jong AZ Alkmaar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jong Ajax have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Jong AZ Alkmaar have 9 wins against Jong Ajax, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Jong AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 65%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 5.08. Over 2.5: 88%. BTTS: 79%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Jong AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jong AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Jong AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Jong Ajax have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jong Ajax's last 6 matches.
Jong Ajax have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.