The model estimates 1.97 goals for Istiqlol Dushanbe and 0.33 for Istaravshan. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Istiqlol Dushanbe and 6 for Istaravshan, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Istiqlol Dushanbe · 68%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Istiqlol Dushanbe is going head to head with Istaravshan on November 07, 2026 at 12:00. This match is part of Vysshaya Liga — Round 22.
Istiqlol Dushanbe take on Istaravshan in the Vysshaya Liga on 7 November 2026 at 12:00.
Istiqlol Dushanbe are currently placed 6th in the table with 10 points, while Istaravshan occupy 12th position with 1 points.
Istiqlol Dushanbe come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Istaravshan have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, Istiqlol Dushanbe have 19 wins against Istaravshan, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Istiqlol Dushanbe to win with probability 67%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.31. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 25%.
ISTISTISTISTISTISTISTISTISTISTISTISTISTISTISTISTISTISTThere have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Istiqlol Dushanbe's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Istiqlol Dushanbe have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Istiqlol Dushanbe have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Istaravshan have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Istaravshan have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Istaravshan's last 6 matches.
