The model estimates 1.28 goals for Ingolstadt and 0.77 for Fortuna Köln. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ingolstadt and 6 for Fortuna Köln, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ingolstadt · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ingolstadt is going head to head with Fortuna Köln on December 12, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Germany 3 Liga — Round 17.
Ingolstadt take on Fortuna Köln in the Germany 3 Liga on 12 December 2026 at 16:00.
Ingolstadt are currently placed 6th in the table with 17 points, while Fortuna Köln occupy 19th position with 10 points.
Ingolstadt come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fortuna Köln have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ingolstadt to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.06. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 41%.
INGFORINGFORINGFORINGFORINGFORINGFORINGFORINGFORINGFORThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Ingolstadt's last 6 matches.
Ingolstadt score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Ingolstadt concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Fortuna Köln have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Fortuna Köln's last 6 matches.
Fortuna Köln have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
