The model estimates 1.39 goals for Ilbirs and 2.28 for Alga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ilbirs and 6 for Alga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ilbirs is going head to head with Alga on March 30, 2024 at 09:00. This match is part of Premier Liga — Round 1.
Ilbirs take on Alga in the Premier Liga on 30 March 2024 at 09:00.
Ilbirs are currently placed 6th in the table with 18 points, while Alga occupy 4th position with 21 points.
Ilbirs come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alga have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Alga have 13 wins against Ilbirs, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Alga to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.67. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 68%.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Ilbirs's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ilbirs have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Ilbirs's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alga have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Alga have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alga's last 6 matches.