The model estimates 1.11 goals for Hornchurch and 1.60 for Barrow. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hornchurch and 6 for Barrow, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Barrow · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hornchurch is going head to head with Barrow on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 28.
Hornchurch take on Barrow in the England National League on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Hornchurch are currently placed 13th in the table with 21 points, while Barrow occupy 7th position with 27 points.
Hornchurch come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Barrow have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Hornchurch have 1 win against Barrow.
Prediction: Barrow to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.70. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 55%.




Hornchurch have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hornchurch's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Hornchurch's last 6 matches.
Barrow are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Barrow have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Barrow have won 5 of their last 6 matches.