The model estimates 1.26 goals for Hemel Hempstead and 1.08 for Torquay. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hemel Hempstead and 6 for Torquay, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hemel Hempstead is going head to head with Torquay on October 17, 2026 at 14:00. This match is part of England National League South — Round 12.
Hemel Hempstead take on Torquay in the England National League South on 17 October 2026 at 14:00.
Hemel Hempstead are currently placed 14th in the table with 14 points, while Torquay occupy 12th position with 16 points.
Hemel Hempstead come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Torquay have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Torquay have 6 wins against Hemel Hempstead.
Prediction: Hemel Hempstead to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.34. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 49%.




In their last 6 matches, Hemel Hempstead have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Hemel Hempstead have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Hemel Hempstead's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Torquay's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Torquay have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Torquay score an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.