The model estimates 0.99 goals for Hemel Hempstead and 0.69 for Dag & Red. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hemel Hempstead and 6 for Dag & Red, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hemel Hempstead · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hemel Hempstead is going head to head with Dag & Red on January 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League South — Round 26.
Hemel Hempstead take on Dag & Red in the England National League South on 9 January 2027 at 00:00.
Hemel Hempstead are currently placed 17th in the table with 15 points, while Dag & Red occupy 8th position with 23 points.
Hemel Hempstead come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Dag & Red have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Hemel Hempstead have 1 win against Dag & Red, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Hemel Hempstead to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.68. Over 2.5: 24%. BTTS: 33%.




Hemel Hempstead have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Hemel Hempstead concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Hemel Hempstead's last 6 home matches.
Dag & Red have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Dag & Red's last 6 matches.
Dag & Red have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.