The model estimates 0.86 goals for Guarnizo and 1.33 for Tropezon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Guarnizo and 6 for Tropezon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Tropezon · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Guarnizo is going head to head with Tropezon on November 22, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 12.
Guarnizo take on Tropezon in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 22 November 2026 at 20:00.
Guarnizo are currently placed 11th in the table with 8 points, while Tropezon occupy 1st position with 20 points.
Guarnizo come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Tropezon have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 25 recorded meetings, Tropezon have 14 wins against Guarnizo, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Tropezon to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.19. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 44%.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Guarnizo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Guarnizo have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Guarnizo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Tropezon are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Tropezon have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Tropezon have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
