The model estimates 1.32 goals for Groene Ster and 1.76 for Blauw Geel. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Groene Ster and 6 for Blauw Geel, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Blauw Geel · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Groene Ster is going head to head with Blauw Geel on April 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 31.
Groene Ster take on Blauw Geel in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 25 April 2027 at 00:00.
Groene Ster are currently placed 30th in the table with 9 points, while Blauw Geel occupy 24th position with 11 points.
Groene Ster come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Blauw Geel have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Blauw Geel have 5 wins against Groene Ster, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Blauw Geel to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.08. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 62%.




Groene Ster have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Groene Ster's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Groene Ster's last 6 matches.
Blauw Geel have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Blauw Geel's last 6 matches.
Blauw Geel concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.