The model estimates 1.16 goals for Greifswald and 1.54 for Jena. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Greifswald and 6 for Jena, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jena · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Greifswald is going head to head with Jena on November 22, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Germany Regionalliga Nordost — Round 17.
Greifswald take on Jena in the Germany Regionalliga Nordost on 22 November 2026 at 16:00.
Greifswald are currently placed 8th in the table with 22 points, while Jena occupy 4th position with 26 points.
Greifswald come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jena have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Jena to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.70. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 56%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Greifswald's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Greifswald's last 6 matches.
Greifswald score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jena have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jena's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Jena's last 6 matches.