The model estimates 2.10 goals for Genk and 1.06 for Leuven. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Genk and 6 for Leuven, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Genk · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Genk is going head to head with Leuven on December 12, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Jupiler Pro League — Round 14.
Genk take on Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League on 12 December 2026 at 19:00.
Genk are currently placed 6th in the table with 15 points, while Leuven occupy 16th position with 6 points.
Genk come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Leuven have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Genk to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.16. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 59%.




In their last 6 matches, Genk have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Genk's last 6 matches.
Genk have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Leuven have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leuven have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Leuven's last 6 matches.