The model estimates 1.17 goals for Gateshead and 1.81 for Tamworth. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gateshead and 6 for Tamworth, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gateshead is going head to head with Tamworth on October 23, 2026 at 18:45. Played at Gateshead International Stadium Gateshead. This match is part of England National League — Round 14.
Gateshead take on Tamworth in the England National League at Gateshead International Stadium Gateshead on 23 October 2026 at 18:45.
Gateshead are currently placed 24th in the table with 4 points, while Tamworth occupy 18th position with 14 points.
Gateshead come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Tamworth have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Tamworth have 8 wins against Gateshead, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Tamworth to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.97. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 59%.




Gateshead have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Gateshead have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Gateshead concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Tamworth have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Tamworth concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Tamworth have won only 1 of their last 6 away matches.