The model estimates 1.40 goals for Galapagar and 1.73 for CD Móstoles. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Galapagar and 6 for CD Móstoles, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Galapagar · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Galapagar is going head to head with CD Móstoles on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 7 — Round 24.
Galapagar take on CD Móstoles in the Spain Tercera Division Group 7 on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Galapagar are currently placed 5th in the table with 14 points, while CD Móstoles occupy 1st position with 17 points.
Galapagar come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas CD Móstoles have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, CD Móstoles have 4 wins against Galapagar, with 3 draws.
Prediction: CD Móstoles to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.13. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 63%.


There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Galapagar's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Galapagar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Galapagar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, CD Móstoles have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
CD Móstoles have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
CD Móstoles have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.