The model estimates 1.84 goals for Fratria and 0.87 for Nesebar. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fratria and 6 for Nesebar, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fratria · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fratria is going head to head with Nesebar on May 22, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bulgaria Vtora Liga — Round 33.
Fratria take on Nesebar in the Bulgaria Vtora Liga on 22 May 2027 at 00:00.
Fratria are currently placed 4th in the table with 22 points, while Nesebar occupy 11th position with 18 points.
Fratria come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nesebar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Fratria to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 50%.




In their last 6 matches, Fratria have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Fratria have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Fratria's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nesebar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Nesebar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Nesebar's last 6 matches.