The model estimates 2.31 goals for Formentera and 0.81 for Mercadal. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Formentera and 6 for Mercadal, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Formentera · 68%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Formentera is going head to head with Mercadal on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 11 — Round 18.
Formentera take on Mercadal in the Spain Tercera Division Group 11 on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Formentera are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Mercadal occupy 12th position with 8 points.
Formentera come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mercadal have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Formentera have 8 wins against Mercadal, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Formentera to win with probability 65%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.12. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 51%.
In their last 6 matches, Formentera have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Formentera's last 6 matches.
Formentera score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Mercadal have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mercadal's last 6 matches.
Mercadal have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
