The model estimates 1.26 goals for FC Tulsa and 0.78 for Sacramento Republic. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for FC Tulsa and 6 for Sacramento Republic, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
FC Tulsa is going head to head with Sacramento Republic on July 05, 2026 at 00:30. Played at ONEOK Field Tulsa, OK. This match is part of USL Championship.
FC Tulsa take on Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship at ONEOK Field Tulsa, OK on 5 July 2026 at 00:30.
FC Tulsa are currently placed 14th in the table with 23 points, while Sacramento Republic occupy 21st position with 17 points.
FC Tulsa come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sacramento Republic have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Sacramento Republic have 10 wins against FC Tulsa, with 5 draws.
Prediction: FC Tulsa to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.04. Over 2.5: 33%. BTTS: 41%.
FC SACFC SACFC SACFC SACFC SACFC SACFC SACFC SACFC SACFC Tulsa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
FC Tulsa have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
FC Tulsa concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Sacramento Republic have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Sacramento Republic have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sacramento Republic's last 6 matches.
