The model estimates 1.61 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 1.21 for Rijnvogels. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Excelsior Maassluis and 6 for Rijnvogels, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Excelsior Maassluis · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Excelsior Maassluis is going head to head with Rijnvogels on November 14, 2026 at 16:30. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 13.
Excelsior Maassluis take on Rijnvogels in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 14 November 2026 at 16:30.
Excelsior Maassluis are currently placed 3rd in the table with 26 points, while Rijnvogels occupy 7th position with 23 points.
Excelsior Maassluis come into this match with 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rijnvogels have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Excelsior Maassluis have 1 win against Rijnvogels.
Prediction: Excelsior Maassluis to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.81. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 57%.




Excelsior Maassluis are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior Maassluis have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Excelsior Maassluis have won 6 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rijnvogels have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rijnvogels have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Rijnvogels's last 6 matches.