The model estimates 1.20 goals for Everton and 1.37 for Bournemouth. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Everton and 6 for Bournemouth, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bournemouth · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Everton is going head to head with Bournemouth on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 32.
Everton take on Bournemouth in the Premier League on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Everton are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Bournemouth occupy 13th position with 9 points.
Everton come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bournemouth have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, Bournemouth have 11 wins against Everton, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Bournemouth to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.57. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 54%.




Everton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Everton have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Everton concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bournemouth have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bournemouth's last 6 matches.
Bournemouth have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.