The model estimates 2.85 goals for ETSV Hamburg and 1.78 for Sasel. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for ETSV Hamburg and 6 for Sasel, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: ETSV Hamburg · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
ETSV Hamburg is going head to head with Sasel on November 20, 2026 at 21:30. This match is part of Germany Oberliga Hamburg — Round 17.
ETSV Hamburg take on Sasel in the Germany Oberliga Hamburg on 20 November 2026 at 21:30.
ETSV Hamburg are currently placed 12th in the table with 14 points, while Sasel occupy 9th position with 20 points.
ETSV Hamburg come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sasel have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, ETSV Hamburg have 4 wins against Sasel, with 1 draw.
Prediction: ETSV Hamburg to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.62. Over 2.5: 84%. BTTS: 79%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of ETSV Hamburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of ETSV Hamburg's last 6 matches.
ETSV Hamburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sasel have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sasel have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sasel's last 6 matches.