The model estimates 2.60 goals for Esperance Tunis and 0.84 for Hamam-Sousse. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Esperance Tunis and 6 for Hamam-Sousse, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Esperance Tunis · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Esperance Tunis is going head to head with Hamam-Sousse on November 28, 2026 at 19:30. This match is part of Ligue Professionnelle 1 — Round 9.
Esperance Tunis take on Hamam-Sousse in the Ligue Professionnelle 1 on 28 November 2026 at 19:30.
Esperance Tunis are currently placed 2nd in the table with 12 points, while Hamam-Sousse occupy 16th position with 1 points.
Esperance Tunis come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hamam-Sousse have 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Esperance Tunis to win with probability 68%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.44. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 54%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Esperance Tunis's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Esperance Tunis have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Esperance Tunis have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Hamam-Sousse have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Hamam-Sousse have lost 6 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Hamam-Sousse's last 6 matches.