The model estimates 1.19 goals for ES Sétif and 1.19 for USM Alger. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for ES Sétif and 6 for USM Alger, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: ES Sétif · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
ES Sétif is going head to head with USM Alger on December 26, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 14.
ES Sétif take on USM Alger in the Ligue 1 on 26 December 2026 at 19:00.
ES Sétif are currently placed 12th in the table with 4 points, while USM Alger occupy 3rd position with 10 points.
ES Sétif come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas USM Alger have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: ES Sétif to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.38. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 50%.




ES Sétif have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of ES Sétif's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of ES Sétif's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, USM Alger have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
USM Alger have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of USM Alger's last 6 matches.