The model estimates 1.24 goals for Emley and 2.15 for Bury. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Emley and 6 for Bury, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bury · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Emley is going head to head with Bury on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 29.
Emley take on Bury in the England Northern Premier on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Emley are currently placed 14th in the table with 17 points, while Bury occupy 10th position with 22 points.
Emley come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bury have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Bury have 1 win against Emley.
Prediction: Bury to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.39. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 64%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Emley's last 6 matches.
Emley have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Emley's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bury have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bury's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Bury's last 6 matches.