The model estimates 1.03 goals for Eibar and 1.35 for Castellon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Eibar and 6 for Castellon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Eibar · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Eibar is going head to head with Castellon on May 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga 2 — Round 40.
Eibar take on Castellon in the LaLiga 2 on 23 May 2027 at 00:00.
Eibar are currently placed 3rd in the table with 22 points, while Castellon occupy 1st position with 26 points.
Eibar come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castellon have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Castellon to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.38. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 49%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Eibar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Eibar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Eibar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Castellon have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Castellon have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Castellon have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.