The model estimates 1.09 goals for Dover and 1.06 for Hemel Hempstead. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Dover and 6 for Hemel Hempstead, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Dover · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Dover is going head to head with Hemel Hempstead on December 05, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League South — Round 20.
Dover take on Hemel Hempstead in the England National League South on 5 December 2026 at 15:00.
Dover are currently placed 11th in the table with 19 points, while Hemel Hempstead occupy 18th position with 15 points.
Dover come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hemel Hempstead have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Dover have 2 wins against Hemel Hempstead, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Dover and Hemel Hempstead to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.14. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 45%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Dover's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Dover have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Dover have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Hemel Hempstead have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Hemel Hempstead concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Hemel Hempstead have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.