The model estimates 1.44 goals for Desenzano and 1.07 for Folgore Caratese. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Desenzano and 6 for Folgore Caratese, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Desenzano · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Desenzano is going head to head with Folgore Caratese on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 27.
Desenzano take on Folgore Caratese in the Italy Serie C on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Desenzano are currently placed 38th in the table with 13 points, while Folgore Caratese occupy 55th position with 7 points.
Desenzano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Folgore Caratese have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Desenzano have 4 wins against Folgore Caratese, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Desenzano to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.51. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 52%.
DESFOLDESFOLDESFOLDESFOLDESFOLDESFOLDESFOLDESFOLDESFOLIn their last 6 matches, Desenzano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Desenzano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Desenzano have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Folgore Caratese have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Folgore Caratese's last 6 matches.
Folgore Caratese concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
