The model estimates 0.98 goals for Desenzano and 1.29 for Arzignano Valchiampo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Desenzano and 6 for Arzignano Valchiampo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arzignano Valchiampo · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Desenzano is going head to head with Arzignano Valchiampo on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 23.
Desenzano take on Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy Serie C on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Desenzano are currently placed 38th in the table with 13 points, while Arzignano Valchiampo occupy 9th position with 20 points.
Desenzano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arzignano Valchiampo have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Desenzano have 1 win against Arzignano Valchiampo.
Prediction: Arzignano Valchiampo to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.26. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 47%.
DESARZDESARZDESARZDESARZDESARZDESARZDESARZDESARZDESARZIn their last 6 matches, Desenzano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Desenzano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Desenzano have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Arzignano Valchiampo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arzignano Valchiampo have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Arzignano Valchiampo's last 6 matches.
