The model estimates 1.04 goals for Dep. Cuenca and 0.95 for CS Emelec. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Dep. Cuenca and 6 for CS Emelec, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Dep. Cuenca is going head to head with CS Emelec on July 28, 2026 at 00:00. Played at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar Cuenca. This match is part of Ecuadorian Serie A — Round 22.
Dep. Cuenca take on CS Emelec in the Ecuadorian Serie A at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar Cuenca on 28 July 2026 at 00:00.
Dep. Cuenca are currently placed 13th in the table with 28 points, while CS Emelec occupy 6th position with 35 points.
Dep. Cuenca come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas CS Emelec have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 86 recorded meetings, CS Emelec have 40 wins against Dep. Cuenca, with 17 draws.
Prediction: Dep. Cuenca to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.99. Over 2.5: 32%. BTTS: 42%.




Dep. Cuenca have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Dep. Cuenca's last 6 matches.
Dep. Cuenca have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, CS Emelec have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of CS Emelec's last 6 matches.
CS Emelec have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.