The model estimates 0.83 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 0.91 for Exeter City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Crewe Alexandra and 6 for Exeter City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Draw · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Crewe Alexandra is going head to head with Exeter City on January 19, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 26.
Crewe Alexandra take on Exeter City in the League Two on 19 January 2027 at 00:00.
Crewe Alexandra are currently placed 4th in the table with 21 points, while Exeter City occupy 8th position with 19 points.
Crewe Alexandra come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Exeter City have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Exeter City have 6 wins against Crewe Alexandra, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Crewe Alexandra and Exeter City to draw with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.74. Over 2.5: 25%. BTTS: 35%.




In their last 6 matches, Crewe Alexandra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 matches.
Exeter City are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Exeter City have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Exeter City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.