The model estimates 3.90 goals for Covadonga and 1.03 for Astur. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Covadonga and 6 for Astur, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Covadonga · 76%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Covadonga is going head to head with Astur on November 15, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 2 — Round 11.
Covadonga take on Astur in the Spain Tercera Division Group 2 on 15 November 2026 at 20:00.
Covadonga are currently placed 2nd in the table with 19 points, while Astur occupy 14th position with 5 points.
Covadonga come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Astur have 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Covadonga have 1 win against Astur, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Covadonga to win with probability 76%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 4.93. Over 2.5: 87%. BTTS: 63%.
In their last 6 matches, Covadonga have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Covadonga have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Covadonga's last 6 matches.
Astur have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Astur have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Astur's last 6 matches.