The model estimates 0.84 goals for Colchester Utd and 0.82 for Northampton Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Colchester Utd and 6 for Northampton Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Draw · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Colchester Utd is going head to head with Northampton Town on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 27.
Colchester Utd take on Northampton Town in the League Two on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Colchester Utd are currently placed 23rd in the table with 12 points, while Northampton Town occupy 21st position with 14 points.
Colchester Utd come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Northampton Town have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 30 recorded meetings, Northampton Town have 14 wins against Colchester Utd, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Colchester Utd and Northampton Town to draw with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.66. Over 2.5: 23%. BTTS: 33%.




Colchester Utd have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Colchester Utd's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Colchester Utd have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Northampton Town's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Northampton Town have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Northampton Town have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.