The model estimates 0.80 goals for Chico and 1.83 for Atl. Nacional. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chico and 6 for Atl. Nacional, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chico is going head to head with Atl. Nacional on July 25, 2026 at 21:00. Played at Estadio La Independencia Tunja. This match is part of Categoría Primera A — Round 1.
Chico take on Atl. Nacional in the Categoría Primera A at Estadio La Independencia Tunja on 25 July 2026 at 21:00.
Chico are currently placed 30th in the table with 17 points, while Atl. Nacional occupy 6th position with 40 points.
Chico come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atl. Nacional have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 47 recorded meetings, Atl. Nacional have 29 wins against Chico, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Atl. Nacional to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.63. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 48%.




In their last 6 matches, Chico have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chico have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chico's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Atl. Nacional have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Atl. Nacional have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Atl. Nacional have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.