The model estimates 1.21 goals for CF Vilanova and 1.01 for Atlètic Lleida. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CF Vilanova and 6 for Atlètic Lleida, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CF Vilanova · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CF Vilanova is going head to head with Atlètic Lleida on December 20, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 5 — Round 16.
CF Vilanova take on Atlètic Lleida in the Spain Tercera Division Group 5 on 20 December 2026 at 20:00.
CF Vilanova are currently placed 9th in the table with 10 points, while Atlètic Lleida occupy 6th position with 11 points.
CF Vilanova come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atlètic Lleida have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: CF Vilanova to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.23. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 47%.


In their last 6 matches, CF Vilanova have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
CF Vilanova have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of CF Vilanova's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Atlètic Lleida have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Atlètic Lleida have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Atlètic Lleida have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.