The model estimates 2.16 goals for Celje and 0.78 for ND Mura. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Celje and 6 for ND Mura, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Celje · 62%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Celje is going head to head with ND Mura on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of PrvaLiga — Round 19.
Celje take on ND Mura in the PrvaLiga on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Celje are currently placed 7th in the table with 14 points, while ND Mura occupy 9th position with 12 points.
Celje come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas ND Mura have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 77 recorded meetings, Celje have 37 wins against ND Mura, with 16 draws.
Prediction: Celje to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.93. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 49%.




Celje have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Celje's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Celje have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
ND Mura are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, ND Mura have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of ND Mura's last 6 matches.