The model estimates 1.59 goals for CD Tondela and 0.98 for Leixoes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CD Tondela and 6 for Leixoes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CD Tondela · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CD Tondela is going head to head with Leixoes on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 19.
CD Tondela take on Leixoes in the Liga Portugal 2 on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
CD Tondela are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Leixoes occupy 12th position with 10 points.
CD Tondela come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Leixoes have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Leixoes have 1 win against CD Tondela.
Prediction: CD Tondela to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.57. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 51%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of CD Tondela's last 6 matches.
CD Tondela have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, CD Tondela have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Leixoes have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Leixoes's last 6 matches.
Leixoes concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.