The model estimates 1.22 goals for Castro and 0.95 for Selaya. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Castro and 6 for Selaya, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castro · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Castro is going head to head with Selaya on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 18.
Castro take on Selaya in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Castro are currently placed 10th in the table with 8 points, while Selaya occupy 12th position with 7 points.
Castro come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Selaya have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Castro have 7 wins against Selaya, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Castro to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.17. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 45%.
Castro have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Castro have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro's last 6 matches.
Selaya have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Selaya have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Selaya's last 6 away matches.