The model estimates 0.80 goals for Castro and 1.47 for Bezana. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Castro and 6 for Bezana, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bezana · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Castro is going head to head with Bezana on May 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 33.
Castro take on Bezana in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 2 May 2027 at 00:00.
Castro are currently placed 10th in the table with 8 points, while Bezana occupy 4th position with 17 points.
Castro come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bezana have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, Castro have 9 wins against Bezana, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Bezana to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.26. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 44%.
Castro have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Castro have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bezana have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Bezana's last 6 matches.
Bezana are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated away matches.