The model estimates 1.79 goals for Castellonense and 0.86 for Lorca Deportiva. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Castellonense and 6 for Lorca Deportiva, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castellonense · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Castellonense is going head to head with Lorca Deportiva on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Segunda B3 — Round 19.
Castellonense take on Lorca Deportiva in the Spain Segunda B3 on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Castellonense are currently placed 1st in the table with 15 points, while Lorca Deportiva occupy 10th position with 9 points.
Castellonense come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lorca Deportiva have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Lorca Deportiva have 1 win against Castellonense.
Prediction: Castellonense to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.65. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 49%.




In their last 6 matches, Castellonense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Castellonense have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Castellonense have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lorca Deportiva have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Lorca Deportiva have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lorca Deportiva have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.