The model estimates 1.83 goals for Bury and 1.17 for Alfreton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bury and 6 for Alfreton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bury · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bury is going head to head with Alfreton on February 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 34.
Bury take on Alfreton in the England Northern Premier on 27 February 2027 at 00:00.
Bury are currently placed 10th in the table with 22 points, while Alfreton occupy 11th position with 20 points.
Bury come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alfreton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Bury have 1 win against Alfreton.
Prediction: Bury to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.00. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 59%.




In their last 6 matches, Bury have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bury's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Bury's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alfreton have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfreton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Alfreton's last 6 matches.