The model estimates 1.62 goals for Burton Albion and 1.77 for Luton Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Burton Albion and 6 for Luton Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Luton Town · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Burton Albion is going head to head with Luton Town on November 21, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of League One — Round 16.
Burton Albion take on Luton Town in the League One on 21 November 2026 at 15:00.
Burton Albion are currently placed 12th in the table with 17 points, while Luton Town occupy 8th position with 20 points.
Burton Albion come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Luton Town have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Burton Albion have 3 wins against Luton Town, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Luton Town to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.39. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 68%.




Burton Albion have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Burton Albion have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Burton Albion's last 6 home matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Luton Town's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Luton Town have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Luton Town's last 6 matches.