The model estimates 1.76 goals for Bursaspor and 0.95 for Karagumruk. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bursaspor and 6 for Karagumruk, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bursaspor · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bursaspor is going head to head with Karagumruk on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of 1. Lig — Round 22.
Bursaspor take on Karagumruk in the 1. Lig on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Bursaspor are currently placed 1st in the table with 32 points, while Karagumruk occupy 9th position with 19 points.
Bursaspor come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Karagumruk have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Karagumruk have 1 win against Bursaspor.
Prediction: Bursaspor to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.70. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 52%.




In their last 6 matches, Bursaspor have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Bursaspor have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bursaspor's last 6 matches.
Karagumruk have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Karagumruk's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Karagumruk have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.