The model estimates 1.69 goals for Burghausen and 1.97 for Illertissen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Burghausen and 6 for Illertissen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Illertissen · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Burghausen is going head to head with Illertissen on November 14, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Germany Regionalliga Bayern — Round 19.
Burghausen take on Illertissen in the Germany Regionalliga Bayern on 14 November 2026 at 16:00.
Burghausen are currently placed 11th in the table with 20 points, while Illertissen occupy 6th position with 23 points.
Burghausen come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Illertissen have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 21 recorded meetings, Illertissen have 9 wins against Burghausen, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Illertissen to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.66. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 71%.




In their last 6 matches, Burghausen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Burghausen's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Burghausen's last 6 matches.
Illertissen have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Illertissen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Illertissen score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.