The model estimates 3.48 goals for Benfica and 0.94 for Estrela Amadora. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Benfica and 6 for Estrela Amadora, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Benfica · 67%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Benfica is going head to head with Estrela Amadora on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 28.
Benfica take on Estrela Amadora in the Primeira Liga on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
Benfica are currently placed 2nd in the table with 22 points, while Estrela Amadora occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Benfica come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Estrela Amadora have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Benfica to win with probability 72%. Most likely scoreline: 3-0. Avg goals: 4.42. Over 2.5: 82%. BTTS: 60%.




In their last 6 matches, Benfica have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Benfica have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Benfica's last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Estrela Amadora concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Amadora's last 6 away matches.