The model estimates 1.12 goals for Bastia and 1.00 for Concarneau. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bastia and 6 for Concarneau, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bastia · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bastia is going head to head with Concarneau on March 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of France National — Round 26.
Bastia take on Concarneau in the France National on 27 March 2027 at 00:00.
Bastia are currently placed 13th in the table with 12 points, while Concarneau occupy 6th position with 17 points.
Bastia come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Concarneau have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Bastia have yet to beat Concarneau, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Bastia and Concarneau to draw with probability 33%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.12. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 44%.




Bastia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Bastia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bastia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Concarneau are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Concarneau have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Concarneau's last 6 matches.