The model estimates 1.53 goals for Bahia and 1.24 for Atletico-MG. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bahia and 6 for Atletico-MG, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bahia · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bahia is going head to head with Atletico-MG on December 02, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Serie A Betano — Round 38.
Bahia take on Atletico-MG in the Serie A Betano on 2 December 2026 at 21:00.
Bahia are currently placed 5th in the table with 24 points, while Atletico-MG occupy 8th position with 21 points.
Bahia come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atletico-MG have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 53 recorded meetings, Atletico-MG have 22 wins against Bahia, with 18 draws.
Prediction: Bahia to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.77. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.
BAHATLBAHATLBAHATLBAHATLBAHATLBAHATLBAHATLBAHATLBAHATLBahia have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Bahia concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Bahia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Atletico-MG have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Atletico-MG's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Atletico-MG's last 6 matches.
