The model estimates 1.32 goals for Avellino and 0.87 for Empoli. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Avellino and 6 for Empoli, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Avellino · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Avellino is going head to head with Empoli on December 12, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 17.
Avellino take on Empoli in the Serie B on 12 December 2026 at 17:00.
Avellino are currently placed 12th in the table with 11 points, while Empoli occupy 18th position with 8 points.
Avellino come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Empoli have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 12 recorded meetings, Avellino have 5 wins against Empoli, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Avellino to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.19. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 44%.




Avellino have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Avellino's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Avellino's last 6 matches.
Empoli have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Empoli have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Empoli's last 6 matches.