The model estimates 0.91 goals for Aubagne and 1.25 for Orleans. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aubagne and 6 for Orleans, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Orleans · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aubagne is going head to head with Orleans on December 05, 2026 at 16:45. This match is part of France National — Round 14.
Aubagne take on Orleans in the France National on 5 December 2026 at 16:45.
Aubagne are currently placed 18th in the table with 4 points, while Orleans occupy 15th position with 9 points.
Aubagne come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Orleans have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Orleans to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.16. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 44%.




Aubagne have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Aubagne have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Aubagne concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Orleans have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Orleans's last 6 matches.
Orleans concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.